Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig

Rot-Weiß Essen6%
Draw6%
RB Leipzig88%

0.95 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Essen

3.56 expected goals for RB Leipzig

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes RB Leipzig the clear favourite: 88% to win. It expects 4.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
Over 1.5 goals94%It happened
Over 2.5 goals76%It happened
Over 3.5 goals66%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals47%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw12%
Draw or RB Leipzig94%
No draw94%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

6.3 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 4.1 for RB Leipzig

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.9 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 2.2 for RB Leipzig

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

30.0 expected

19.3 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 10.7 for RB Leipzig

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

23.1 expected

11.1 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 12.0 for RB Leipzig

Over 20.5 fouls68%
Over 22.5 fouls53%
Over 24.5 fouls38%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.