SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

SC Paderborn 0719%
Draw16%
VfB Stuttgart65%

1.13 expected goals for SC Paderborn 07

1.86 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes VfB Stuttgart the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals62%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
SC Paderborn 07 or draw35%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart81%
No draw84%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.1 for SC Paderborn 07 and 5.0 for VfB Stuttgart

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.5 for SC Paderborn 07 and 2.1 for VfB Stuttgart

Over 3.5 cards49%
Over 4.5 cards30%
Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

30.7 expected

15.6 for SC Paderborn 07 and 15.2 for VfB Stuttgart

Over 20.5 shots91%
Over 22.5 shots85%
Over 24.5 shots78%

Fouls

22.7 expected

11.0 for SC Paderborn 07 and 11.7 for VfB Stuttgart

Over 20.5 fouls65%
Over 22.5 fouls50%
Over 24.5 fouls35%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.