Probably Football

Matches

DFB Pokal (Germany)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:00

Final score

SSV Jeddeloh0-2Hertha BSC

The model's most likely result happened: a Hertha BSC win (61%).

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC

  1. SSV Jeddeloh21%
  2. Draw18%
  3. Hertha BSC61%

1.22 expected goals for SSV Jeddeloh

1.79 expected goals for Hertha BSC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Hertha BSC the clear favourite: 61% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.