Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Hamburger SV25%
Draw16%
Eintracht Frankfurt59%

1.55 expected goals for Hamburger SV

1.91 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals67%It happened
Over 3.5 goals45%It happened
Over 4.5 goals27%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Hamburger SV or draw41%
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt75%
No draw84%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.0 for Hamburger SV and 5.1 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.5 for Hamburger SV and 2.3 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 3.5 cards52%
Over 4.5 cards33%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

30.0 expected

15.5 for Hamburger SV and 14.5 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 20.5 shots90%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots75%

Fouls

24.8 expected

13.0 for Hamburger SV and 11.8 for Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 20.5 fouls78%
Over 22.5 fouls65%
Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.