Probably Football

Matches

DFB Pokal (Germany)

Tuesday 27 October, 14:00

Final score

SV Elversberg0-2SV Darmstadt 98

The model gave this result 16%. Its most likely result was a SV Elversberg win (73%).

SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98

  1. SV Elversberg73%
  2. Draw11%
  3. SV Darmstadt 9816%

2.53 expected goals for SV Elversberg

1.04 expected goals for SV Darmstadt 98

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes SV Elversberg the clear favourite: 73% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 11.0 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals69%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals48%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals29%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.0 expected

5.6 for SV Elversberg and 5.4 for SV Darmstadt 98

  1. Over 8.5 corners70%
  2. Over 9.5 corners61%
  3. Over 10.5 corners51%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.9 for SV Elversberg and 2.4 for SV Darmstadt 98

  1. Over 3.5 cards62%
  2. Over 4.5 cards43%
  3. Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

29.6 expected

15.5 for SV Elversberg and 14.2 for SV Darmstadt 98

  1. Over 20.5 shots89%
  2. Over 22.5 shots82%
  3. Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

25.3 expected

12.7 for SV Elversberg and 12.6 for SV Darmstadt 98

  1. Over 20.5 fouls80%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls68%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls54%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.