Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Bayer Leverkusen79%
Draw10%
1. FC Nürnberg11%

2.62 expected goals for Bayer Leverkusen

0.91 expected goals for 1. FC Nürnberg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen the clear favourite: 79% to win. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals87%It happened
Over 2.5 goals68%It happened
Over 3.5 goals47%It happened
Over 4.5 goals28%It happened

Both teams score52%
Bayer Leverkusen or draw89%
Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg21%
No draw90%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.6 for Bayer Leverkusen and 4.6 for 1. FC Nürnberg

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Bayer Leverkusen and 2.4 for 1. FC Nürnberg

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

31.3 expected

18.5 for Bayer Leverkusen and 12.8 for 1. FC Nürnberg

Over 20.5 shots92%
Over 22.5 shots86%
Over 24.5 shots79%

Fouls

24.1 expected

14.1 for Bayer Leverkusen and 10.0 for 1. FC Nürnberg

Over 20.5 fouls74%
Over 22.5 fouls60%
Over 24.5 fouls45%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.