Persib Bandung vs Melbourne Victory

Persib Bandung44%
Draw25%
Melbourne Victory31%

1.48 expected goals for Persib Bandung

1.22 expected goals for Melbourne Victory

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Persib Bandung has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Melbourne Victory win at 31%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score55%
Persib Bandung or draw69%
Draw or Melbourne Victory56%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.7 expected

6.9 for Persib Bandung and 3.8 for Melbourne Victory

Over 8.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners58%
Over 10.5 corners49%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.4 for Persib Bandung and 2.2 for Melbourne Victory

Over 3.5 cards48%
Over 4.5 cards29%
Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

34.8 expected

25.9 for Persib Bandung and 8.9 for Melbourne Victory

Over 20.5 shots94%
Over 22.5 shots90%
Over 24.5 shots84%

Fouls

21.6 expected

10.1 for Persib Bandung and 11.5 for Melbourne Victory

Over 20.5 fouls57%
Over 22.5 fouls42%
Over 24.5 fouls27%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.