Probably Football

Matches

Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador)

Wednesday 21 October, 15:00

Final score

Gualaceo SC1-1Santo Domingo

The model gave this result 35%. Its most likely result was a Gualaceo SC win (41%).

Gualaceo SC vs Santo Domingo

  1. Gualaceo SC41%
  2. Draw35%
  3. Santo Domingo24%

0.97 expected goals for Gualaceo SC

0.90 expected goals for Santo Domingo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 1.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 44%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals84%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals56%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals35%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals12%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.