UEFA Europa Conference League (International)
Thursday 22 October, 14:00
Final score
Lincoln Red Imps FC1-4Twente
The model's most likely result happened: a Twente win (67%).
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente
- Lincoln Red Imps FC15%
- Draw18%
- Twente67%
0.68 expected goals for Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.38 expected goals for Twente
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Twente the clear favourite: 67% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals20%It happened
- Both teams score46%
- Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw33%
- Draw or Twente85%
- No draw81%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.