Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa Conference League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

FK Jablonec0-0Brighton

The model gave this result 13%. Its most likely result was a Brighton win (77%).

FK Jablonec vs Brighton

  1. FK Jablonec10%
  2. Draw13%
  3. Brighton77%

0.67 expected goals for FK Jablonec

3.26 expected goals for Brighton

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Brighton the clear favourite: 77% to win. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals90%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals55%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals36%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.0 for FK Jablonec and 4.4 for Brighton

  1. Over 8.5 corners55%
  2. Over 9.5 corners45%
  3. Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.7 for FK Jablonec and 2.0 for Brighton

  1. Over 3.5 cards50%
  2. Over 4.5 cards31%
  3. Over 5.5 cards17%

Shots

25.9 expected

12.1 for FK Jablonec and 13.7 for Brighton

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots67%
  3. Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

24.4 expected

11.1 for FK Jablonec and 13.3 for Brighton

  1. Over 20.5 fouls76%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls63%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.