Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa Conference League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

Inter Club d'Escaldes1-3Universitatea Craiova

The model's most likely result happened: a Universitatea Craiova win (48%).

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova

  1. Inter Club d'Escaldes29%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Universitatea Craiova48%

1.23 expected goals for Inter Club d'Escaldes

1.85 expected goals for Universitatea Craiova

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Universitatea Craiova has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Inter Club d'Escaldes win at 29%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals37%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.