Probably Football

Matches

UEFA Europa Conference League (International)

Thursday 22 October, 11:45

Final score

FK Crvena Zvezda2-2FC Copenhagen

The model gave this result 20%. Its most likely result was a FC Copenhagen win (59%).

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen

  1. FK Crvena Zvezda21%
  2. Draw20%
  3. FC Copenhagen59%

1.04 expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda

2.31 expected goals for FC Copenhagen

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Copenhagen the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals43%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.