Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Union St. Gilloise71%
Draw20%
Hapoel Beer Sheva9%

1.85 expected goals for Union St. Gilloise

0.56 expected goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Union St. Gilloise the clear favourite: 71% to win. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals70%It happened
Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
Over 3.5 goals22%It happened
Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Both teams score47%
Union St. Gilloise or draw91%
Draw or Hapoel Beer Sheva29%
No draw80%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

5.5 for Union St. Gilloise and 3.9 for Hapoel Beer Sheva

Over 8.5 corners56%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.7 for Union St. Gilloise and 2.3 for Hapoel Beer Sheva

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

32.3 expected

20.4 for Union St. Gilloise and 11.9 for Hapoel Beer Sheva

Over 20.5 shots93%
Over 22.5 shots88%
Over 24.5 shots82%

Fouls

22.9 expected

12.0 for Union St. Gilloise and 10.9 for Hapoel Beer Sheva

Over 20.5 fouls67%
Over 22.5 fouls52%
Over 24.5 fouls37%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.