Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica

Omonia Nicosia16%
Draw19%
Benfica65%

0.75 expected goals for Omonia Nicosia

2.42 expected goals for Benfica

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Benfica the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
Over 3.5 goals39%It happened
Over 4.5 goals21%It happened

Both teams score51%
Omonia Nicosia or draw35%
Draw or Benfica84%
No draw81%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

4.7 for Omonia Nicosia and 5.4 for Benfica

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners53%
Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.6 expected

1.9 for Omonia Nicosia and 2.7 for Benfica

Over 3.5 cards67%
Over 4.5 cards49%
Over 5.5 cards31%

Shots

27.0 expected

12.2 for Omonia Nicosia and 14.8 for Benfica

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots72%
Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

26.7 expected

13.4 for Omonia Nicosia and 13.3 for Benfica

Over 20.5 fouls87%
Over 22.5 fouls77%
Over 24.5 fouls64%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.