Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha

Olympiakos Piraeus49%
Draw23%
Sparta Praha28%

1.37 expected goals for Olympiakos Piraeus

1.00 expected goals for Sparta Praha

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Olympiakos Piraeus has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Sparta Praha win at 28%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals69%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw72%
Draw or Sparta Praha51%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

6.0 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 3.9 for Sparta Praha

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.9 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.9 for Sparta Praha

Over 3.5 cards53%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

25.6 expected

16.2 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 9.4 for Sparta Praha

Over 20.5 shots76%
Over 22.5 shots65%
Over 24.5 shots53%

Fouls

24.3 expected

11.8 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 12.5 for Sparta Praha

Over 20.5 fouls76%
Over 22.5 fouls62%
Over 24.5 fouls47%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.