OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen

OFI14%
Draw17%
Bayer Leverkusen69%

0.74 expected goals for OFI

2.74 expected goals for Bayer Leverkusen

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen the clear favourite: 69% to win. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals46%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals27%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
OFI or draw31%
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen86%
No draw83%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

4.7 for OFI and 5.3 for Bayer Leverkusen

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.7 for OFI and 2.4 for Bayer Leverkusen

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

30.1 expected

11.8 for OFI and 18.3 for Bayer Leverkusen

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

23.4 expected

9.4 for OFI and 13.9 for Bayer Leverkusen

Over 20.5 fouls69%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.