UEFA Champions League (International)
Viking vs Sabah FA
- Viking75%
- Draw13%
- Sabah FA12%
3.10 expected goals for Viking
1.21 expected goals for Sabah FA
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
The model makes Viking the clear favourite: 75% to win. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Viking attack, which scores 155% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Viking defence, which lets in 40% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 4.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.7 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Viking
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Viking attack+155%
- Sabah FA defence−19%
Expected goals3.10
Sabah FA
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Sabah FA attack+47%
- Viking defence−40%
Expected goals1.21
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%
- Over 1.5 goals93%
- Over 2.5 goals71%
- Over 3.5 goals62%
- Over 4.5 goals43%
- Both teams score57%
- Viking or draw88%
- Draw or Sabah FA25%
- No draw87%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.7 expected
5.4 for Viking and 5.3 for Sabah FA
- Over 8.5 corners68%
- Over 9.5 corners58%
- Over 10.5 corners48%
Cards
4.0 expected
1.9 for Viking and 2.1 for Sabah FA
- Over 3.5 cards57%
- Over 4.5 cards37%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
31.1 expected
14.7 for Viking and 16.4 for Sabah FA
- Over 20.5 shots92%
- Over 22.5 shots86%
- Over 24.5 shots79%
Fouls
23.4 expected
12.1 for Viking and 11.3 for Sabah FA
- Over 20.5 fouls70%
- Over 22.5 fouls55%
- Over 24.5 fouls40%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.