Wednesday 21 October, 14:00

Final score

Sporting CP2-3Lask Linz

The model gave this result 4%. Its most likely result was a Sporting CP win (88%).

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz

Sporting CP88%
Draw8%
Lask Linz4%

3.66 expected goals for Sporting CP

0.78 expected goals for Lask Linz

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sporting CP the clear favourite: 88% to win. It expects 4.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
Over 1.5 goals94%It happened
Over 2.5 goals72%It happened
Over 3.5 goals65%It happened
Over 4.5 goals45%It happened

Both teams score50%
Sporting CP or draw96%
Draw or Lask Linz12%
No draw92%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.5 for Sporting CP and 3.8 for Lask Linz

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.1 for Sporting CP and 2.2 for Lask Linz

Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

26.6 expected

16.0 for Sporting CP and 10.6 for Lask Linz

Over 20.5 shots80%
Over 22.5 shots70%
Over 24.5 shots59%

Fouls

23.4 expected

11.0 for Sporting CP and 12.4 for Lask Linz

Over 20.5 fouls70%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.