Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Real Madrid62%
Draw17%
RB Leipzig21%

2.56 expected goals for Real Madrid

1.50 expected goals for RB Leipzig

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Real Madrid the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 4.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
Over 2.5 goals68%It happened
Over 3.5 goals58%It happened
Over 4.5 goals38%It happened

Both teams score59%
Real Madrid or draw79%
Draw or RB Leipzig38%
No draw83%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.7 expected

6.5 for Real Madrid and 4.2 for RB Leipzig

Over 8.5 corners68%
Over 9.5 corners58%
Over 10.5 corners48%

Cards

4.3 expected

2.0 for Real Madrid and 2.3 for RB Leipzig

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

29.6 expected

16.8 for Real Madrid and 12.8 for RB Leipzig

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

23.6 expected

10.2 for Real Madrid and 13.4 for RB Leipzig

Over 20.5 fouls71%
Over 22.5 fouls56%
Over 24.5 fouls41%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.