Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Inter72%
Draw15%
Shakhtar Donetsk13%

2.80 expected goals for Inter

1.14 expected goals for Shakhtar Donetsk

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Inter the clear favourite: 72% to win. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals91%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals67%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals55%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals36%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
Inter or draw87%
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk28%
No draw85%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.2 for Inter and 4.1 for Shakhtar Donetsk

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.1 for Inter and 2.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk

Over 3.5 cards65%
Over 4.5 cards46%
Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

28.7 expected

17.2 for Inter and 11.5 for Shakhtar Donetsk

Over 20.5 shots86%
Over 22.5 shots79%
Over 24.5 shots69%

Fouls

22.3 expected

10.7 for Inter and 11.6 for Shakhtar Donetsk

Over 20.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls47%
Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.