Como vs Manchester United

Como45%
Draw22%
Manchester United33%

1.58 expected goals for Como

1.39 expected goals for Manchester United

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Como has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 22% and a Manchester United win at 33%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals35%It happened
Over 4.5 goals18%It happened

Both teams score54%
Como or draw67%
Draw or Manchester United55%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.2 for Como and 4.6 for Manchester United

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.1 for Como and 2.1 for Manchester United

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

29.6 expected

17.7 for Como and 11.9 for Manchester United

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

22.2 expected

10.9 for Como and 11.2 for Manchester United

Over 20.5 fouls61%
Over 22.5 fouls46%
Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.