UEFA Champions League (International)
Wednesday 21 October, 14:00
Final score
Real Betis1-0Feyenoord
The model's most likely result happened: a Real Betis win (45%).
Real Betis vs Feyenoord
- Real Betis45%
- Draw18%
- Feyenoord37%
2.25 expected goals for Real Betis
2.11 expected goals for Feyenoord
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Real Betis has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 18% and a Feyenoord win at 37%. It expects 4.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 61%. And about 9.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals93%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals71%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals63%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals44%It did not happen
- Both teams score61%
- Real Betis or draw63%
- Draw or Feyenoord55%
- No draw82%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.2 for Real Betis and 4.5 for Feyenoord
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
4.2 expected
1.9 for Real Betis and 2.3 for Feyenoord
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards41%
- Over 5.5 cards24%
Shots
29.0 expected
16.2 for Real Betis and 12.7 for Feyenoord
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots80%
- Over 24.5 shots71%
Fouls
24.8 expected
12.5 for Real Betis and 12.3 for Feyenoord
- Over 20.5 fouls78%
- Over 22.5 fouls65%
- Over 24.5 fouls50%
Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.