Probably Football

Matches

Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador)

Wednesday 21 October, 15:00

Final score

Cuniburo2-0Ind. Juniors

The model's most likely result happened: a Cuniburo win (44%).

Cuniburo vs Ind. Juniors

  1. Cuniburo44%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Ind. Juniors24%

1.18 expected goals for Cuniburo

1.02 expected goals for Ind. Juniors

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Cuniburo has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 32% and a Ind. Juniors win at 24%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals65%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals38%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals18%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.