Probably Football

Matches

Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador)

Wednesday 21 October, 15:00

Final score

San Antonio3-39 de Octubre

The model's most likely result happened: a draw (37%).

San Antonio vs 9 de Octubre

  1. San Antonio30%
  2. Draw37%
  3. 9 de Octubre33%

0.67 expected goals for San Antonio

1.05 expected goals for 9 de Octubre

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 1.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals82%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals52%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals35%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals10%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals3%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.