Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion

Sportivo Trinidense42%
Draw28%
Libertad Asuncion30%

1.54 expected goals for Sportivo Trinidense

1.16 expected goals for Libertad Asuncion

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Sportivo Trinidense has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Libertad Asuncion win at 30%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Sportivo Trinidense or draw70%
Draw or Libertad Asuncion58%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.4 for Sportivo Trinidense and 4.4 for Libertad Asuncion

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.2 for Sportivo Trinidense and 2.3 for Libertad Asuncion

Over 3.5 cards65%
Over 4.5 cards46%
Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

26.0 expected

13.3 for Sportivo Trinidense and 12.7 for Libertad Asuncion

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots68%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

24.3 expected

13.5 for Sportivo Trinidense and 10.8 for Libertad Asuncion

Over 20.5 fouls75%
Over 22.5 fouls61%
Over 24.5 fouls47%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.