Probably Football

Matches

Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico)

Sunday 25 October, 18:00

Final score (on penalties)

Real Apodaca3-3Guerreros del Pacifico

The model gave this result 25%. Its most likely result was a Real Apodaca win (53%).

Real Apodaca vs Guerreros del Pacifico

  1. Real Apodaca53%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Guerreros del Pacifico22%

1.62 expected goals for Real Apodaca

1.11 expected goals for Guerreros del Pacifico

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Real Apodaca has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Guerreros del Pacifico win at 22%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%
  3. Over 2.5 goals50%
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.