Correcaminos UAT II vs Acambaro

Correcaminos UAT II30%
Draw24%
Acambaro46%

1.21 expected goals for Correcaminos UAT II

1.71 expected goals for Acambaro

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Acambaro has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Correcaminos UAT II win at 30%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Correcaminos UAT II or draw54%
Draw or Acambaro70%
No draw76%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.