Friday 23 October, 18:00
Final score
FC Santiago6-0Real Refineros
The model's most likely result happened: a FC Santiago win (68%).
FC Santiago vs Real Refineros
- FC Santiago68%
- Draw19%
- Real Refineros13%
2.23 expected goals for FC Santiago
1.04 expected goals for Real Refineros
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes FC Santiago the clear favourite: 68% to win. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals58%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals41%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals23%It happened
- Both teams score52%
- FC Santiago or draw87%
- Draw or Real Refineros33%
- No draw81%
Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.