Al Faisaly vs Al Taawon

Al Faisaly27%
Draw24%
Al Taawon49%

1.10 expected goals for Al Faisaly

1.53 expected goals for Al Taawon

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al Taawon has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Al Faisaly win at 27%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score54%
Al Faisaly or draw51%
Draw or Al Taawon73%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.5 expected

5.5 for Al Faisaly and 4.0 for Al Taawon

Over 8.5 corners57%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.9 for Al Faisaly and 2.5 for Al Taawon

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

24.2 expected

13.7 for Al Faisaly and 10.5 for Al Taawon

Over 20.5 shots70%
Over 22.5 shots58%
Over 24.5 shots45%

Fouls

21.8 expected

11.4 for Al Faisaly and 10.4 for Al Taawon

Over 20.5 fouls58%
Over 22.5 fouls42%
Over 24.5 fouls28%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.