Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Two (International)

Wednesday 28 October, 11:00

Final score

Al-Nahda1-4Al-Rayyan SC

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Al-Nahda win (43%).

Al-Nahda vs Al-Rayyan SC

  1. Al-Nahda43%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Al-Rayyan SC32%

1.51 expected goals for Al-Nahda

1.31 expected goals for Al-Rayyan SC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al-Nahda has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Al-Rayyan SC win at 32%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals31%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.0 for Al-Nahda and 4.2 for Al-Rayyan SC

  1. Over 8.5 corners54%
  2. Over 9.5 corners44%
  3. Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.6 for Al-Nahda and 2.3 for Al-Rayyan SC

  1. Over 3.5 cards54%
  2. Over 4.5 cards34%
  3. Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

25.2 expected

14.1 for Al-Nahda and 11.1 for Al-Rayyan SC

  1. Over 20.5 shots75%
  2. Over 22.5 shots63%
  3. Over 24.5 shots51%

Fouls

27.3 expected

13.0 for Al-Nahda and 14.3 for Al-Rayyan SC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls89%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls80%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls68%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.