Al-Jazira vs Muharraq

Al-Jazira52%
Draw26%
Muharraq22%

1.50 expected goals for Al-Jazira

0.96 expected goals for Muharraq

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al-Jazira has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Muharraq win at 22%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
Over 3.5 goals23%It happened
Over 4.5 goals10%It happened

Both teams score54%
Al-Jazira or draw78%
Draw or Muharraq48%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

6.5 for Al-Jazira and 3.5 for Muharraq

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.7 for Al-Jazira and 2.1 for Muharraq

Over 3.5 cards54%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

32.3 expected

22.4 for Al-Jazira and 9.9 for Muharraq

Over 20.5 shots93%
Over 22.5 shots87%
Over 24.5 shots80%

Fouls

23.3 expected

10.4 for Al-Jazira and 12.9 for Muharraq

Over 20.5 fouls69%
Over 22.5 fouls54%
Over 24.5 fouls39%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.