Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Two (International)

Tuesday 27 October, 13:15

Final score

Al Shorta1-1Al Hussein

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a Al Hussein win (49%).

Al Shorta vs Al Hussein

  1. Al Shorta28%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Al Hussein49%

1.23 expected goals for Al Shorta

1.68 expected goals for Al Hussein

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al Hussein has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Al Shorta win at 28%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 8.9 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.9 expected

5.1 for Al Shorta and 3.7 for Al Hussein

  1. Over 8.5 corners51%
  2. Over 9.5 corners40%
  3. Over 10.5 corners30%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.2 for Al Shorta and 2.5 for Al Hussein

  1. Over 3.5 cards50%
  2. Over 4.5 cards30%
  3. Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

21.1 expected

12.4 for Al Shorta and 8.7 for Al Hussein

  1. Over 20.5 shots51%
  2. Over 22.5 shots38%
  3. Over 24.5 shots27%

Fouls

20.9 expected

9.2 for Al Shorta and 11.7 for Al Hussein

  1. Over 20.5 fouls51%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls36%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls22%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.