Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Elite (International)

Tuesday 27 October, 07:15

Final score

Ratchaburi0-0Kashiwa Reysol

The model gave this result 17%. Its most likely result was a Kashiwa Reysol win (62%).

Ratchaburi vs Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Ratchaburi21%
  2. Draw17%
  3. Kashiwa Reysol62%

1.29 expected goals for Ratchaburi

2.39 expected goals for Kashiwa Reysol

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Kashiwa Reysol the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 3.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals89%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals61%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals50%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals31%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

5.3 for Ratchaburi and 4.9 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners54%
  3. Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

3.4 expected

1.2 for Ratchaburi and 2.2 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 3.5 cards45%
  2. Over 4.5 cards26%
  3. Over 5.5 cards13%

Shots

27.5 expected

11.5 for Ratchaburi and 16.0 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots74%
  3. Over 24.5 shots63%

Fouls

21.8 expected

10.9 for Ratchaburi and 11.0 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 20.5 fouls59%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls43%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls29%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.