Probably Football

Matches

AFC Champions League Elite (International)

Tuesday 27 October, 05:00

Final score

Johor Darul Takzim FC3-0Port FC

The model's most likely result happened: a Johor Darul Takzim FC win (63%).

Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Port FC

  1. Johor Darul Takzim FC63%
  2. Draw20%
  3. Port FC17%

2.00 expected goals for Johor Darul Takzim FC

0.94 expected goals for Port FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.1 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 4.2 for Port FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners55%
  2. Over 9.5 corners44%
  3. Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.1 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 2.1 for Port FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards60%
  2. Over 4.5 cards41%
  3. Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

26.3 expected

18.1 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 8.1 for Port FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots78%
  2. Over 22.5 shots67%
  3. Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

23.4 expected

12.5 for Johor Darul Takzim FC and 10.9 for Port FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls70%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls55%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 17:19 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.