AFC Champions League Elite (International)
Monday 26 October, 08:45
Final score
Neftchi1-2Al-Ittihad FC
The model's most likely result happened: a Al-Ittihad FC win (73%).
Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC
- Neftchi12%
- Draw15%
- Al-Ittihad FC73%
0.83 expected goals for Neftchi
2.40 expected goals for Al-Ittihad FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Al-Ittihad FC the clear favourite: 73% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen
- Both teams score50%
- Neftchi or draw27%
- Draw or Al-Ittihad FC88%
- No draw85%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.