Probably Football

Matches

Segunda División (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Provincial Ovalle1-2General Velásquez

The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Provincial Ovalle win (36%).

Provincial Ovalle vs General Velásquez

  1. Provincial Ovalle36%
  2. Draw28%
  3. General Velásquez36%

1.03 expected goals for Provincial Ovalle

1.08 expected goals for General Velásquez

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals63%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals16%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.