Probably Football

Matches

FA WSL (England)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Liverpool W2-2London City Lionesses W

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a London City Lionesses W win (49%).

Liverpool W vs London City Lionesses W

  1. Liverpool W27%
  2. Draw24%
  3. London City Lionesses W49%

1.18 expected goals for Liverpool W

1.54 expected goals for London City Lionesses W

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

London City Lionesses W has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Liverpool W win at 27%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.8 for Liverpool W and 4.2 for London City Lionesses W

  1. Over 8.5 corners61%
  2. Over 9.5 corners51%
  3. Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.5 for Liverpool W and 1.9 for London City Lionesses W

  1. Over 3.5 cards43%
  2. Over 4.5 cards24%
  3. Over 5.5 cards12%

Shots

26.3 expected

14.5 for Liverpool W and 11.8 for London City Lionesses W

  1. Over 20.5 shots79%
  2. Over 22.5 shots69%
  3. Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

23.4 expected

10.4 for Liverpool W and 13.0 for London City Lionesses W

  1. Over 20.5 fouls70%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls55%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.