Probably Football

Matches

FA WSL (England)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Everton W2-3Aston Villa W

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a Everton W win (41%).

Everton W vs Aston Villa W

  1. Everton W41%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Aston Villa W34%

1.46 expected goals for Everton W

1.17 expected goals for Aston Villa W

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 10.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.2 expected

6.0 for Everton W and 4.2 for Aston Villa W

  1. Over 8.5 corners64%
  2. Over 9.5 corners54%
  3. Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

3.1 expected

1.4 for Everton W and 1.7 for Aston Villa W

  1. Over 3.5 cards37%
  2. Over 4.5 cards20%
  3. Over 5.5 cards9%

Shots

30.2 expected

19.6 for Everton W and 10.6 for Aston Villa W

  1. Over 20.5 shots90%
  2. Over 22.5 shots83%
  3. Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

21.4 expected

11.6 for Everton W and 9.8 for Aston Villa W

  1. Over 20.5 fouls56%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls40%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls26%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.