Sunday 25 October, 09:00
Final score
Birmingham City W1-0Charlton Athletic W
The model gave this result 33%. Its most likely result was a Charlton Athletic W win (42%).
Birmingham City W vs Charlton Athletic W
- Birmingham City W33%
- Draw25%
- Charlton Athletic W42%
1.30 expected goals for Birmingham City W
1.39 expected goals for Charlton Athletic W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Charlton Athletic W has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Birmingham City W win at 33%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 11.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals76%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Birmingham City W or draw57%
- Draw or Charlton Athletic W67%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
11.0 expected
6.9 for Birmingham City W and 4.2 for Charlton Athletic W
- Over 8.5 corners71%
- Over 9.5 corners61%
- Over 10.5 corners52%
Cards
3.1 expected
1.2 for Birmingham City W and 2.0 for Charlton Athletic W
- Over 3.5 cards38%
- Over 4.5 cards21%
- Over 5.5 cards10%
Shots
29.4 expected
19.8 for Birmingham City W and 9.6 for Charlton Athletic W
- Over 20.5 shots88%
- Over 22.5 shots80%
- Over 24.5 shots71%
Fouls
20.4 expected
10.4 for Birmingham City W and 10.1 for Charlton Athletic W
- Over 20.5 fouls48%
- Over 22.5 fouls32%
- Over 24.5 fouls20%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.