Damac vs Al Okhdood
- Damac52%
- Draw29%
- Al Okhdood19%
1.60 expected goals for Damac
0.86 expected goals for Al Okhdood
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Damac has the edge (52%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Al Okhdood win at 19%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Damac defence, which lets in 22% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Al Okhdood attack, which scores 19% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Damac
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Damac attack−5%
- Al Okhdood defence+11%
Expected goals1.60
Al Okhdood
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Al Okhdood attack−19%
- Damac defence−22%
Expected goals0.86
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%
- Over 1.5 goals71%
- Over 2.5 goals45%
- Over 3.5 goals23%
- Over 4.5 goals10%
- Both teams score51%
- Damac or draw81%
- Draw or Al Okhdood48%
- No draw71%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.