Probably Football

Matches

Division 1 (Saudi Arabia)

Wednesday 28 October, 10:05

Final score

Al Najma2-0Al Zulfi

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Al Zulfi win (39%).

Al Najma vs Al Zulfi

  1. Al Najma31%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Al Zulfi39%

1.16 expected goals for Al Najma

1.23 expected goals for Al Zulfi

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al Zulfi has the edge (39%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Al Najma win at 31%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.