Al Jabalain vs Al-Raed

Al Jabalain43%
Draw30%
Al-Raed27%

1.36 expected goals for Al Jabalain

1.00 expected goals for Al-Raed

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al Jabalain has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Al-Raed win at 27%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals69%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals43%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Both teams score52%
Al Jabalain or draw73%
Draw or Al-Raed57%
No draw69%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.