Probably Football

Matches

Division 1 (Saudi Arabia)

Tuesday 27 October, 10:25

Final score

Al Wehda Club2-1Al Saqer

The model's most likely result happened: a Al Wehda Club win (42%).

Al Wehda Club vs Al Saqer

  1. Al Wehda Club42%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Al Saqer30%

1.63 expected goals for Al Wehda Club

1.30 expected goals for Al Saqer

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al Wehda Club has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Al Saqer win at 30%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.