Probably Football

Matches

Division 1 (Saudi Arabia)

Monday 26 October, 10:00

Final score

Al Bukayriyah2-1Hajer

The model's most likely result happened: a Al Bukayriyah win (35%).

Al Bukayriyah vs Hajer

  1. Al Bukayriyah35%
  2. Draw31%
  3. Hajer34%

1.16 expected goals for Al Bukayriyah

1.07 expected goals for Hajer

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 35%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals66%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.