Probably Football

Matches

Division 1 (Saudi Arabia)

Wednesday 21 October, 11:50

Final score

Jeddah Club0-1Al Jabalain

The model's most likely result happened: a Al Jabalain win (60%).

Jeddah Club vs Al Jabalain

  1. Jeddah Club11%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Al Jabalain60%

0.68 expected goals for Jeddah Club

1.45 expected goals for Al Jabalain

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al Jabalain the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals63%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals41%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.