Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha

Al-Hazm41%
Draw28%
Al-Fayha31%

1.31 expected goals for Al-Hazm

1.05 expected goals for Al-Fayha

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Al-Hazm has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Al-Fayha win at 31%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
Over 3.5 goals21%It happened
Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Al-Hazm or draw69%
Draw or Al-Fayha59%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.6 for Al-Hazm and 4.3 for Al-Fayha

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

3.8 expected

2.0 for Al-Hazm and 1.8 for Al-Fayha

Over 3.5 cards52%
Over 4.5 cards33%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

25.8 expected

14.9 for Al-Hazm and 10.9 for Al-Fayha

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots66%
Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

23.4 expected

12.3 for Al-Hazm and 11.1 for Al-Fayha

Over 20.5 fouls70%
Over 22.5 fouls55%
Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.