Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Al-Ahli Jeddah79%
Draw15%
Al Khaleej Saihat6%

2.88 expected goals for Al-Ahli Jeddah

0.77 expected goals for Al Khaleej Saihat

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the clear favourite: 79% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
Over 3.5 goals49%It happened
Over 4.5 goals30%It happened

Both teams score55%
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw94%
Draw or Al Khaleej Saihat21%
No draw85%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.4 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 4.4 for Al Khaleej Saihat

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 2.3 for Al Khaleej Saihat

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

25.5 expected

15.9 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 9.6 for Al Khaleej Saihat

Over 20.5 shots76%
Over 22.5 shots65%
Over 24.5 shots53%

Fouls

25.2 expected

12.6 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 12.6 for Al Khaleej Saihat

Over 20.5 fouls80%
Over 22.5 fouls68%
Over 24.5 fouls53%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.