Tuesday 27 October, 09:00
Final score
Mantova0-2Cremonese
The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Mantova win (36%).
Mantova vs Cremonese
- Mantova36%
- Draw32%
- Cremonese32%
1.32 expected goals for Mantova
1.27 expected goals for Cremonese
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals45%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals26%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Both teams score53%
- Mantova or draw68%
- Draw or Cremonese64%
- No draw68%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.4 expected
5.2 for Mantova and 4.2 for Cremonese
- Over 8.5 corners56%
- Over 9.5 corners45%
- Over 10.5 corners35%
Cards
3.8 expected
1.6 for Mantova and 2.2 for Cremonese
- Over 3.5 cards53%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
25.9 expected
15.2 for Mantova and 10.7 for Cremonese
- Over 20.5 shots77%
- Over 22.5 shots67%
- Over 24.5 shots55%
Fouls
21.7 expected
11.0 for Mantova and 10.7 for Cremonese
- Over 20.5 fouls58%
- Over 22.5 fouls42%
- Over 24.5 fouls28%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.