Vicenza Virtus vs Modena

Vicenza Virtus27%
Draw31%
Modena42%

1.07 expected goals for Vicenza Virtus

1.58 expected goals for Modena

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Modena has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Vicenza Virtus win at 27%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
Over 2.5 goals45%It happened
Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Vicenza Virtus or draw58%
Draw or Modena73%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.0 for Vicenza Virtus and 4.8 for Modena

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.1 for Vicenza Virtus and 2.3 for Modena

Over 3.5 cards65%
Over 4.5 cards46%
Over 5.5 cards29%

Shots

29.6 expected

11.1 for Vicenza Virtus and 18.4 for Modena

Over 20.5 shots88%
Over 22.5 shots81%
Over 24.5 shots72%

Fouls

27.4 expected

14.6 for Vicenza Virtus and 12.9 for Modena

Over 20.5 fouls89%
Over 22.5 fouls80%
Over 24.5 fouls68%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.