Tuesday 27 October, 09:00
Final score
Juve Stabia0-1Hellas Verona
The model's most likely result happened: a Hellas Verona win (36%).
Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
- Juve Stabia31%
- Draw33%
- Hellas Verona36%
1.05 expected goals for Juve Stabia
1.22 expected goals for Hellas Verona
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.2 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals67%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen
- Both teams score53%
- Juve Stabia or draw64%
- Draw or Hellas Verona69%
- No draw67%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.2 expected
4.6 for Juve Stabia and 4.6 for Hellas Verona
- Over 8.5 corners54%
- Over 9.5 corners43%
- Over 10.5 corners34%
Cards
4.1 expected
1.6 for Juve Stabia and 2.5 for Hellas Verona
- Over 3.5 cards59%
- Over 4.5 cards39%
- Over 5.5 cards23%
Shots
26.4 expected
14.5 for Juve Stabia and 11.9 for Hellas Verona
- Over 20.5 shots80%
- Over 22.5 shots69%
- Over 24.5 shots58%
Fouls
28.7 expected
11.7 for Juve Stabia and 17.0 for Hellas Verona
- Over 20.5 fouls92%
- Over 22.5 fouls85%
- Over 24.5 fouls75%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.