Probably Football

Matches

Serie B (Italy)

Tuesday 27 October, 09:00

Final score

Juve Stabia0-1Hellas Verona

The model's most likely result happened: a Hellas Verona win (36%).

Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona

  1. Juve Stabia31%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Hellas Verona36%

1.05 expected goals for Juve Stabia

1.22 expected goals for Hellas Verona

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals67%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

4.6 for Juve Stabia and 4.6 for Hellas Verona

  1. Over 8.5 corners54%
  2. Over 9.5 corners43%
  3. Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.6 for Juve Stabia and 2.5 for Hellas Verona

  1. Over 3.5 cards59%
  2. Over 4.5 cards39%
  3. Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

26.4 expected

14.5 for Juve Stabia and 11.9 for Hellas Verona

  1. Over 20.5 shots80%
  2. Over 22.5 shots69%
  3. Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

28.7 expected

11.7 for Juve Stabia and 17.0 for Hellas Verona

  1. Over 20.5 fouls92%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls85%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls75%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.